Koharu Ito won. Smart money backed Anri Nagata (13 ranked wallets, average entry 61¢) and lost. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $2.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Andy Beshear 4% · Josh Shapiro 3% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 8% | $942k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $712k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $454k |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04? | Yes 53% · No 48% | $410k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Koharu Ito | $978.70 |
| rugmoney | Koharu Ito | $406.29 |
| TheRomanProcurator | Koharu Ito | $146.50 |
| 0xbf06… | Koharu Ito | $25.86 |
| arahbo | Koharu Ito | $18.81 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Koharu Ito | $12.20 |
| 0x6b25… | Koharu Ito | $11.70 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Koharu Ito | $9 |
| xutuu | Koharu Ito | $5.87 |
| Dionis81 | Koharu Ito | $5.55 |
| 0x5fd2… | Koharu Ito | $4.79 |
| derric-terrain | Koharu Ito | $2.40 |
70 wallets held a position at the close. The 15 biggest winners took $1.6k; the 55 biggest losers gave up $4.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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