Greta Nemcsek won. Smart money backed Ekaterina Agureeva (3 ranked wallets, average entry 64¢) and lost. Volume $689. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 60% · Real Betis Balompié 17% | $3.8M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.3M |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 92% · Draw (SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC) 7% · SK Slavia Praha 1% | $1.7M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli | FC Porto 69% · SSC Napoli 11% | $879k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $810k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| NeedForDead | Greta Nemcsek | $35.76 |
| 0x8526… | Greta Nemcsek | $18.57 |
| 0xa789… | Greta Nemcsek | $11.30 |
| 0x954d… | Greta Nemcsek | $5.98 |
| lyc01followp | Greta Nemcsek | $3.82 |
| 0xb819… | Greta Nemcsek | $3.15 |
| violettaOle | Greta Nemcsek | $2.19 |
| ARTEM-DZYUBA | Greta Nemcsek | $1.34 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Ekaterina Agureeva | −$195.00 |
| 0x4156… | Ekaterina Agureeva | −$3.25 |
| gamblersden | Ekaterina Agureeva | −$2.40 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Ekaterina Agureeva | −$1.40 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $82; the 4 biggest losers gave up $202. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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