Joshua Charlton won. Smart money backed Max Purcell (6 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $26k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 64% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $713k |
| FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax | AFC Ajax 48% · FC Midtjylland 25% | $527k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $516k |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 42% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $486k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 50% · Suns 51% | $484k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xfbfb… | Joshua Charlton | $10k |
| 0xb595… | Joshua Charlton | $6k |
| 0xd9bc… | Joshua Charlton | $176.20 |
| 0x349e… | Joshua Charlton | $36.67 |
| 0x64d4… | Joshua Charlton | $33.15 |
| LQ7 | Joshua Charlton | $18.13 |
| sangs666 | Joshua Charlton | $7.04 |
| ezq-gk-7 | Joshua Charlton | $7.04 |
| 0xd5a3… | Joshua Charlton | $3.41 |
| Stephenwq | Max Purcell | −$262.72 |
| thosisi | Max Purcell | −$250 |
| Edwardrriler | Max Purcell | −$250 |
34 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $17k; the 25 biggest losers gave up $1.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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