Nikola Slavic won. Smart money backed Mikael Arseneault (3 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $284. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
eFMBS took +$116 on Nikola Slavic from 46¢; the biggest loser gave up $20.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Invictus Gaming 21% · Gen.G 80% | $1.4M |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $653k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 52% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $622k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 11% · Elissa Slotkin 0% | $569k |
| Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 80% · Valencia CF 8% | $555k |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 99% · Labour Party 1% | $500k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 17% · James Talarico 1% | $465k |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07? | Yes 87% · No 14% | $423k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| eFMBS | Nikola Slavic | $116.13 |
| Dimkov27 | Nikola Slavic | $11.94 |
| tjab0n | Nikola Slavic | $2.61 |
| 0xbfd7… | Mikael Arseneault | −$19.98 |
| pengu1n | Mikael Arseneault | −$18.57 |
| VlokaFiel | Mikael Arseneault | −$5.49 |
| khojw | Mikael Arseneault | −$4.99 |
7 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $131; the 4 biggest losers gave up $49. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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