Johan Oscar Lien won. Smart money backed Nikola Slavic (2 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $2.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh took +$123 on Johan Oscar Lien from 56¢; the biggest loser gave up $205.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 7% · Ro Khanna 2% | $874k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $678k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 63% · Bilibili Gaming 37% | $608k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 46% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% | $602k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $416k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $412k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 93% | $407k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 25% · No 76% | $392k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Johan Oscar Lien | $122.65 |
| poshposh | Johan Oscar Lien | $57.24 |
| 0x9be8… | Johan Oscar Lien | $33.20 |
| 0xbfd7… | Johan Oscar Lien | $18.46 |
| 0xb8b9… | Johan Oscar Lien | $13.84 |
| gusishere | Johan Oscar Lien | $8 |
| ET65 | Johan Oscar Lien | $6.10 |
| tagear | Johan Oscar Lien | $4.99 |
| filsdeup | Johan Oscar Lien | $4.89 |
| arbtemis | Johan Oscar Lien | $2.55 |
| accont001 | Johan Oscar Lien | $2.05 |
| artemaka01 | Nikola Slavic | −$204.52 |
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $274; the 6 biggest losers gave up $375. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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