Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes won. Smart money backed Jesse Flores (2 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $3.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
alpheclabs took +$38 on Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes from 85¢; the biggest loser gave up $81.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 87% · 50+ bps increase 9% · No change 4% | $1.1M |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | Spirit 62% · FURIA 39% | $920k |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | Spirit 68% · FURIA 32% | $502k |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks | Pepperdine Waves 40% · Oregon Ducks 60% | $463k |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) | Lions 53% · Patriots 48% | $405k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 47% · Édouard Philippe 7% · Teddy Riner 2% | $403k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · John McEntee 2% | $397k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $391k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| alpheclabs | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $37.50 |
| temparal | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $33.54 |
| 0x9be8… | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $16.00 |
| 0xf9ad… | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $15.32 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $9.42 |
| accont001 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $2.79 |
| tomorrowillbebetter | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $1.69 |
| 0x6711… | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $1.60 |
| Yanis2603 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $1.22 |
| Jxtoas | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $0.90 |
| VlokaFiel | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $0.83 |
| JuliiaDiamond | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $0.78 |
25 wallets held a position at the close. The 17 biggest winners took $124; the 8 biggest losers gave up $184. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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