No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $54k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
108 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.0k; the 47 biggest losers gave up $2.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 22% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $652k |
| Como 1907 vs. Venezia FC | Como 1907 88% · Venezia FC 2% | $576k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $553k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $461k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x75d1… | No | $803.33 |
| Optimus- | No | $567 |
| sdoouij | No | $450.50 |
| usolndhs | No | $177.50 |
| XueqinJiang | No | $120.80 |
| Newsance | Yes | $95.18 |
| 0xf169…fb91 | No | $81.67 |
| x549 | No | $66.71 |
| Seldon26 | Yes | $57.43 |
| x3fc | Yes | $52.46 |
| TheOne777 | No | $41.05 |
| x549 | Yes | $36.05 |