No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 0¢). Volume $2.5k, liquidity $1.5k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $250k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $233k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 78% · No 23% | $226k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $174k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $172k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $137k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $110k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 62% · No 39% | $107k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CalculatedRisk08 | Yes | 2k |
| Kurumi.chan. | Yes | 666 |
| 0xf94d12 | Yes | 50 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 41 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 40 |
| baerwiththegewehr | Yes | 40 |
| 0xd0d90c | Yes | 25 |
| balthazar | Yes | 20 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 2k |
| tianjiyuyunzhilu | No | 1k |
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