Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢) and lost. Volume $160k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Dropper took +$5.5k on Yes from 68¢; the biggest loser gave up $3.2k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $76k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $37k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes 76% · No 24% | $24k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | Yes 70% · No 30% | $21k |
| Will XRP reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $12k |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on November 13? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $12k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes 30% · No 70% | $9k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 81% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Dropper | Yes | $6k |
| realunagi | Yes | $511.39 |
| 0xce83… | Yes | $256.30 |
| company-Dropper | Yes | $217.55 |
| Seluj | Yes | $109.20 |
| GabiFP | Yes | $101.36 |
| mad4x | Yes | $99.62 |
| Legacy.crypto | Yes | $92.40 |
| PredictionEater | Yes | $90.65 |
| SHUTYOURMOUSE | Yes | $83.12 |
| tbn888 | Yes | $65.30 |
| aldiJames | Yes | $50.72 |
134 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $7.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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