No won. Volume $16k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x11c5… took +$18 on No from 98¢; the biggest loser gave up $41.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $70k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $35k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes 80% · No 21% | $24k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | Yes 68% · No 32% | $21k |
| Will XRP reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $12k |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on November 13? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $12k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes 16% · No 85% | $9k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | Yes 20% · No 80% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x11c5… | No | $17.95 |
| Tirtasaputra | No | $10.71 |
| Godmother | No | $10 |
| SHUTYOURMOUSE | No | $8.44 |
| 99cbets | No | $3.27 |
| ke1pie | No | $1.86 |
| conormurphy | No | $1.16 |
| PeggyGou | No | $0.80 |
| 18s | Yes | −$41.19 |
| bobo035 | Yes | −$22 |
| 0xaa5f… | Yes | −$10.69 |
| MikhailAdamenko | Yes | −$10.67 |
19 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $54; the 11 biggest losers gave up $111. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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