Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $1.1M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
xenify took +$16k on Yes from 55¢; the biggest loser gave up $12k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $76k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $37k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes 76% · No 24% | $24k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | Yes 70% · No 30% | $21k |
| Will XRP reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $12k |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on November 13? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $12k |
| Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes 30% · No 70% | $9k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 81% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| xenify | Yes | $16k |
| Dropper | Yes | $15k |
| Creamethod | Yes | $10k |
| disputequant | Yes | $8k |
| Ante25 | Yes | $7k |
| hope4joe1 | Yes | $2k |
| Sukbae Lee | Yes | $2k |
| g0nzo | Yes | $1k |
| LHZZZ | Yes | $1k |
| 0x7c17… | Yes | $1k |
| omnibus-424779 | Yes | $951.37 |
| MojAlaki | Yes | $802.36 |
609 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $82k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $54k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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