No won. Volume $9.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
9 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $48; the 3 biggest losers gave up $8. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $124k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1% | $26k |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes 28% · No 73% | $19k |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March? | 25 bps increase 36% · 25 bps decrease 17% | $11k |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in November? | No change 90% · 25 bps decrease 10% | $11k |
| Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November | 25 bps increase 94% · No change 6% | $10k |
| Bank of Canada Decision in December? | No Change 63% · 25 bps increase 38% | $10k |
| Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xbada… | No | $22.66 |
| hithitfar | No | $12.95 |
| Olcan | No | $8.94 |
| bechamel | No | $1.34 |
| GTOrski1 | No | $1.28 |
| intelligence98 | No | $0.68 |
| Beyonder- | Yes | −$5 |
| bechamel | Yes | −$1.92 |
| enderwnd | Yes | −$1.05 |