Yes won. Volume $277. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 57% · 13°C 17% · 11°C 17% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 25% · 5°C 16% · 6°C 8% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 43% · 70-71°F 27% · 74-75°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 6? | 86-87°F 66% · 84-85°F 29% · 82-83°F 3% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 52% · 12°C 48% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 44% · 27°C 29% · 29°C 13% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| OnlyLuckNoBrain2 | Yes | $21.71 |
| 0xOlong | Yes | $4.20 |
| bpetrov86 | Yes | $2.95 |
| ravendaren | Yes | $2.23 |
| flynatol | Yes | $1.76 |
| maker2026 | Yes | $1.11 |
| haistar | Yes | $0.81 |
| yuandecheng | Yes | $0.55 |
| yellowpp | No | −$77.87 |
| ComicSansMS | No | −$14.97 |
| 0x4fdf… | No | −$2.99 |
11 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $35; the 3 biggest losers gave up $96. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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