Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 51¢) and lost. Volume $8.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 62% · No 39% | $33k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 30°C 63% · 31°C 41% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 2? | 30°C 99% · 31°C 1% · 32°C 0% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 57% · 82-83°F 35% · 78-79°F 2% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 57% · 8°C 41% · 10°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 2? | 19°C 100% · 20°C 0% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 8°C 54% · 7°C 33% · 9°C 11% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 2? | 15°C 93% · 16°C 5% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| limitless00 | Yes | $819.43 |
| kenchan5544332211 | Yes | $99.47 |
| Niseko | Yes | $76.90 |
| Tiou | Yes | $60.08 |
| fnv3wnc | Yes | $51.21 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $42.17 |
| 0x5f3e… | Yes | $26.50 |
| unionway | Yes | $26 |
| Z7dk3 | Yes | $25.30 |
| 5Y2T3MF41LURe | Yes | $24.46 |
| 0xSPBB | Yes | $22.41 |
| pisukeee | Yes | $20.37 |
62 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 25 biggest losers gave up $766. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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