Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $796. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
edug4briel123 took +$26 on Yes from 65¢; the biggest loser gave up $25.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $9.1M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 30% · No 70% | $94k |
| Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 12? | 13°C 73% · 14°C 25% · 15°C 9% | $26k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 12? | 20°C 49% · 21°C 35% · 19°C 13% | $20k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 12? | 78-79°F 64% · 80-81°F 18% · 76-77°F 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 12? | 78-79°F 46% · 80-81°F 25% · 76-77°F 24% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 12? | 15°C 61% · 16°C 26% · 14°C 11% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 12? | 27°C 65% · 26°C 26% · 28°C 11% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 12? | 30°C 64% · 29°C 31% · 28°C 2% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| edug4briel123 | Yes | $26.18 |
| woaiuu | Yes | $14.56 |
| arsenal85 | Yes | $11.20 |
| 0x2CA | Yes | $10 |
| ComicSansMS | Yes | $9.80 |
| LoneForestWolf | Yes | $9.36 |
| pogodynek | Yes | $8.70 |
| Akolakowski | Yes | $7.65 |
| 0x79c2… | Yes | $6.63 |
| pogodynka | Yes | $6.05 |
| 0x3135… | Yes | $5.84 |
| kryptogej | Yes | $5.64 |
40 wallets held a position at the close. The 29 biggest winners took $162; the 11 biggest losers gave up $76. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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