Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $815. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
woaiuu took +$82 on Yes from 74¢; the biggest loser gave up $13.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 7 5% · 6 1% · 5 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 14? | 54-55°F 55% · 56-57°F 28% · 52-53°F 13% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? | 64-65°F 38% · 66-67°F 37% · 62-63°F 17% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 54-55°F 19% · 52-53°F 17% · 50-51°F 16% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Seattle on November 14? | 58-59°F 43% · 56-57°F 33% · 60-61°F 13% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 14? | 19°C 61% · 18°C 20% · 20°C 18% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 14? | 72-73°F 53% · 74-75°F 22% · 70-71°F 20% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 14? | 64-65°F 27% · 60-61°F 26% · 66-67°F 10% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| woaiuu | Yes | $82.48 |
| dobrelya | Yes | $26.49 |
| METARNostradamus | Yes | $21.61 |
| arsenal85 | Yes | $15.70 |
| ComicSansMS | Yes | $11.60 |
| pogodynek | Yes | $10.59 |
| Certified-Loser | Yes | $9.72 |
| Akolakowski | Yes | $8.90 |
| kryptogej | Yes | $8.30 |
| pogodynka | Yes | $8.10 |
| 0x2CA | Yes | $6.80 |
| 0x3135… | Yes | $5.95 |
34 wallets held a position at the close. The 22 biggest winners took $248; the 12 biggest losers gave up $53. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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