No won. Smart money backed Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $1.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 5? | 15°C 100% · 17°C 0% · 16°C 0% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Istanbul on November 5? | 12°C 96% · 13°C 4% · 14°C 1% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 5? | 11°C 54% · 10°C 39% · 12°C 3% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 5? | 10°C 57% · 9°C 24% · 11°C 22% | $14k |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 6? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 5? | 18°C 97% · 19°C 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 14°C 40% · 13°C 40% · 15°C 8% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 5? | 17°C 100% · 18°C 1% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | No | $29.64 |
| Haradwaith | No | $6.83 |
| 0xecdb… | No | $6.80 |
| LittleBitBadBoy | No | $6.79 |
| HHR-TEST1 | No | $6.40 |
| johncashi | No | $5.04 |
| 0x8beb… | No | $4.10 |
| 0xOlong | No | $3.49 |
| mr.zucker | No | $2.97 |
| startrusttt | No | $1.74 |
| win20260726 | No | $0.74 |
| AppleCider22 | Yes | −$19.29 |
20 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $75; the 9 biggest losers gave up $89. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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