Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $314. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
METARNostradamus took +$24 on Yes from 51¢; the biggest loser gave up $32.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 13? | 20°C 100% · 17°C 0% · 18°C 0% | $28k |
| Highest temperature in Singapore on November 13? | 32°C 100% · 34°C 0% · 33°C 0% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 13? | 78-79°F 41% · 80-81°F 40% · 76-77°F 9% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 13? | 48-49°F 97% · 50-51°F 2% · 52-53°F 1% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 13? | 80-81°F 54% · 78-79°F 27% · 82-83°F 12% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 13? | 7°C 35% · 5°C 13% · 8°C 4% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 13? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% · 11°C or below 0% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 13? | 27°C 98% · 28°C 2% · 29°C 2% | $14k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| METARNostradamus | Yes | $23.88 |
| 0xb0f3… | Yes | $18.21 |
| anon-trader | Yes | $11.80 |
| arsenal85 | Yes | $7 |
| Shiba-Inu | Yes | $4.53 |
| 0x58ce… | Yes | $4.16 |
| 0xedbe… | Yes | $3.95 |
| 0xbc3c… | Yes | $3.57 |
| heylowhui-- | Yes | $1.55 |
| BoldDune2658 | Yes | $1.04 |
| 0xf51b… | No | −$32.40 |
| HotWeatherGirl | No | −$5.75 |
16 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $80; the 6 biggest losers gave up $47. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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