No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 19¢) and lost. Volume $483. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Bilberry took +$22 on No from 55¢; the biggest loser gave up $15.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 66% · 18°C 27% · 16°C 0% | $30k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 79% · 17°C 19% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 52% · 11°C 33% · 9°C 13% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 43% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 6% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 59% · 20°C 27% · 18°C 9% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 42% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 14% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Bilberry | No | $22.38 |
| 0x567 | No | $6.20 |
| 0x3cf7… | No | $3.91 |
| plainvector | No | $3.59 |
| 0x948f… | No | $2.05 |
| anothercoin | No | $1.80 |
| heylowhui-- | No | $1.75 |
| hingedetector | No | $1.15 |
| luciebot | No | $1.07 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $0.64 |
| arsenal85 | Yes | −$15.03 |
| LoneForestWolf | Yes | −$14.56 |
23 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $45; the 13 biggest losers gave up $78. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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