Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 90¢) and lost. Volume $152. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $67k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 51% · 29°C 27% · 27°C 11% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 46% · 72-73°F 27% · 76-77°F 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 3? | 11°C 50% · 12°C 48% · 10°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 3? | 28°C 62% · 27°C 32% · 29°C 7% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 3? | 13°C 51% · 12°C 42% · 11°C 4% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 3? | 84-85°F 69% · 86-87°F 21% · 82-83°F 11% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 3? | 19°C 30% · 17°C 8% · 16°C 1% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| flynatol | Yes | $12.34 |
| ShaneLin | Yes | $1.44 |
| lyezzzzz | Yes | $0.50 |
| 0x948f… | No | −$25 |
| xiongxixi | No | −$1.08 |
| LifeChangingOpportunity | No | −$1.00 |
6 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $14; the 3 biggest losers gave up $27. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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