Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $622. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Shiba-Inu took +$11 on Yes from 73¢; the biggest loser gave up $5.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? | 66-67°F 45% · 64-65°F 39% · 62-63°F 9% | $13k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 7 5% · 6 1% · 5 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 14? | 54-55°F 53% · 56-57°F 33% · 52-53°F 15% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 50-51°F 16% · 52-53°F 15% · 54-55°F 15% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 14? | 19°C 57% · 18°C 27% · 20°C 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seattle on November 14? | 58-59°F 47% · 56-57°F 24% · 60-61°F 17% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 14? | 72-73°F 55% · 74-75°F 25% · 70-71°F 17% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 14? | 60-61°F 28% · 64-65°F 20% · 66-67°F 8% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Shiba-Inu | Yes | $11.09 |
| dobrelya | Yes | $9.00 |
| Roomservice | Yes | $2.66 |
| 0xa054… | Yes | $2.00 |
| fweather | Yes | $1.36 |
| wallingj13 | Yes | $1.27 |
| lyezzzzz | Yes | $0.66 |
| weatherwhat | Yes | $0.64 |
| psyduckler | Yes | $0.50 |
| Jhonslow | No | −$4.99 |
| gnrz6u3mk9i0lfl1vkj6rlmwgbxlh2jt | No | −$1.41 |
11 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $29; the 2 biggest losers gave up $6. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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