No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 21¢) and lost. Volume $3.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
METARNostradamus took +$48 on No from 75¢; the biggest loser gave up $66.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 99% · 26°C 1% | $23k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 15? | 18°C 100% · 20°C 0% · 19°C 0% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Lowest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 12°C 94% · 11°C 6% · 8°C or below 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 98% · 19°C 1% · 18°C 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 28% · 8°C 20% · 6°C 18% | $11k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| METARNostradamus | No | $48.02 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $7.50 |
| macc-5 | No | $4.23 |
| bigfunky | No | $3.74 |
| anothercoin | No | $2.65 |
| AlwaysAnon | No | $1.94 |
| 0x0bc9… | No | $1.94 |
| Mgfkogsodfjgnosdfikjgnosduifng | No | $1.70 |
| RealG74 | No | $1.34 |
| get-ya-cumulus | No | $1.33 |
| 0x79c2… | No | $1.26 |
| 0xe0c9… | No | $0.91 |
34 wallets held a position at the close. The 14 biggest winners took $78; the 20 biggest losers gave up $143. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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