Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 37¢) and lost. Volume $2.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 52% · 11°C 21% · 13°C 14% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 41% · 70-71°F 28% · 74-75°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 62% · 12°C 25% · 10°C 9% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 67% · 3°C 28% · 4°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 17% · 6°C 13% · 7°C 3% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 6? | 10°C 47% · 9°C 47% · 8°C 8% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Bilberry | Yes | $123.72 |
| 0bot | Yes | $91.35 |
| hn54pVpVmJsjn2CA | Yes | $25.61 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain2 | Yes | $25.20 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $24.72 |
| dami-1 | Yes | $22.97 |
| whhisky | Yes | $17.20 |
| gaaaydoggggg | Yes | $12.25 |
| Tallguy2527 | Yes | $10.62 |
| woff1236578 | Yes | $9.80 |
| 0x03a4… | Yes | $8.55 |
| 0x948f… | Yes | $7.44 |
48 wallets held a position at the close. The 23 biggest winners took $398; the 25 biggest losers gave up $462. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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