Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 33¢) and lost. Volume $770. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
METARNostradamus took +$43 on Yes from 22¢; the biggest loser gave up $231.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 15? | 14°C 100% · 17°C or higher 0% · 15°C 0% | $27k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 69% · 26°C 36% · 27°C 1% | $25k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 15? | 16°C 100% · 17°C 0% · 18°C 0% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 15? | 27°C 96% · 28°C 11% · 29°C 0% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 15? | 18°C 100% · 19°C 0% · 21°C 0% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on November 15? | 30°C 99% · 31°C 1% · 33°C 0% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| METARNostradamus | Yes | $43.34 |
| ComicSansMS | Yes | $18.06 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $16.20 |
| bingesquake | Yes | $15.75 |
| 0xecdb… | Yes | $10.32 |
| anon-trader | Yes | $7.30 |
| alwayshedging | Yes | $5.65 |
| HotDogChewer | Yes | $4.88 |
| TTLucky | Yes | $4.22 |
| 0x1e4b… | Yes | $4.08 |
| booboo2shoes | Yes | $4 |
| bhuumi | Yes | $3.90 |
24 wallets held a position at the close. The 16 biggest winners took $147; the 8 biggest losers gave up $287. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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