No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $79. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
ComicSansMS took +$13 on No from 50¢; the biggest loser gave up $10.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? | 66-67°F 45% · 64-65°F 39% · 62-63°F 9% | $13k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 7 5% · 6 1% · 5 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 14? | 54-55°F 53% · 56-57°F 28% · 52-53°F 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 50-51°F 16% · 52-53°F 15% · 54-55°F 15% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 14? | 19°C 60% · 20°C 19% · 18°C 1% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seattle on November 14? | 58-59°F 47% · 56-57°F 24% · 60-61°F 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 14? | 72-73°F 54% · 74-75°F 25% · 70-71°F 17% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 14? | 60-61°F 28% · 64-65°F 20% · 66-67°F 8% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ComicSansMS | No | $12.50 |
| 0xa09d… | No | $0.80 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | −$10 |
| dim-sandwich | Yes | −$2.50 |
| 0xf711… | Yes | −$1.68 |
5 wallets held a position at the close. The 2 biggest winners took $13; the 3 biggest losers gave up $14. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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