Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $74. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xf711… took +$5 on Yes from 46¢; the biggest loser gave up $5.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 12? | 12°C 84% · 13°C 13% · 10°C 0% | $71k |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 34% · No 67% | $51k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 12? | 27°C 100% · 21°C or below 0% · 22°C 0% | $33k |
| Highest temperature in Milan on November 12? | 12°C 58% · 11°C 43% · 13°C 3% | $29k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 8 72% · Greater than 8 11% · 7 7% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 12? | 7°C 98% · 8°C 1% · 1°C or below 0% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Jeddah on November 12? | 34°C 100% · 35°C 0% · 36°C 0% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 12? | 78-79°F 47% · 80-81°F 37% · 76-77°F 11% | $14k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf711… | Yes | $5.17 |
| fweather | Yes | $2.89 |
| 0x3cef… | Yes | $2.82 |
| hn54pVpVmJsjn2CA | Yes | $2.26 |
| AppleCider22 | Yes | $1.51 |
| mlrbt | Yes | $0.56 |
| johncashi | No | −$5.07 |
| 0x3cf7… | No | −$4.98 |
| heylowhui-- | No | −$0.62 |
9 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $15; the 3 biggest losers gave up $11. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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