No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $584. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
METARNostradamus took +$20 on No from 65¢; the biggest loser gave up $25.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14? | 25°C 99% · 27°C 1% · 26°C 0% | $31k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 14? | 19°C 100% · 20°C 0% · 23°C 0% | $27k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 14? | 22°C 97% · 23°C 0% · 18°C 0% | $25k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 14? | 26°C 99% · 27°C 2% · 23°C or below 0% | $23k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 14? | 2°C 86% · 3°C 14% · 4°C 0% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 14? | 18°C 99% · 19°C 0% · 20°C 0% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 48-49°F 32% · 50-51°F 27% · 46-47°F 18% | $14k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 14? | 23°C 85% · 22°C 14% · 21°C 7% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| METARNostradamus | No | $20.17 |
| milibao | No | $5.97 |
| dobrelya | No | $5.90 |
| twobonclay | No | $3.70 |
| heylowhui-- | No | $3.70 |
| 0xecdb… | No | $1.95 |
| Papanya2 | No | $1.91 |
| m8x.gort | Yes | −$24.58 |
| meteomath | Yes | −$21.90 |
| melonfisher | Yes | −$19.71 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | −$7.20 |
| 0x1e4b… | Yes | −$4.80 |
22 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $43; the 15 biggest losers gave up $99. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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