No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $1.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 96% · 14°C 5% · 15°C 2% | $56k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 57% · 33°C 40% | $21k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 64% · 28°C 20% · 30°C 14% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 16°C 43% · 15°C 34% · 17°C 20% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 3°C 50% · 2°C 40% · 4°C 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 6? | 9°C 51% · 10°C 33% · 8°C 12% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 21°C 45% · 20°C 43% · 22°C 5% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | No | $76.46 |
| gghff | No | $14.47 |
| m8x.gort | Yes | $8.31 |
| 0x567 | No | $7.30 |
| HHR-TEST1 | No | $6.60 |
| Weatherboy2 | No | $4.00 |
| cra1 | No | $3 |
| sisan33 | No | $1.80 |
| VantagePoint-YT | No | $1.54 |
| melonfisher | No | $1.50 |
| goshopping | No | $1.34 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $1.20 |
27 wallets held a position at the close. The 13 biggest winners took $128; the 14 biggest losers gave up $79. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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