Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $226. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xecdb… took +$13 on Yes from 50¢; the biggest loser gave up $48.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? | 66-67°F 45% · 64-65°F 42% · 62-63°F 10% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 50-51°F 19% · 48-49°F 16% · 54-55°F 14% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 14? | 54-55°F 56% · 56-57°F 32% · 52-53°F 10% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Seattle on November 14? | 58-59°F 47% · 56-57°F 33% · 60-61°F 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on November 14? | 46-47°F 48% · 48-49°F 39% · 50-51°F 8% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 14? | 72-73°F 54% · 70-71°F 26% · 74-75°F 14% | $10k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 8 67% · Greater than 8 13% · 7 5% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 14? | 27°C 30% · 26°C 28% · 28°C 17% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xecdb… | Yes | $12.53 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $11.43 |
| Z7dk31 | Yes | $10.15 |
| twobonclay | Yes | $5.00 |
| heylowhui-- | Yes | $3.15 |
| PixelHotD0g | Yes | $3 |
| AppleCider22 | Yes | $2.80 |
| 0xeb0a… | Yes | $1 |
| Vedeney | No | −$48.13 |
| ComicSansMS | No | −$14.58 |
| 0x8b89… | No | −$10.15 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | −$6.18 |
16 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $49; the 8 biggest losers gave up $90. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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