Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $647k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $2.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $1.2M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | Liquid 37% · BetBoom Team 63% | $725k |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 81% · AEK 8% | $625k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 14% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $594k |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | TheMongolz 26% · FURIA 74% | $571k |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 95% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 4% | $513k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Japan | Yes | $5k |
| Misterxqt | Yes | $4k |
| HoffmanV1 | Yes | $2k |
| Itharion | No | $2k |
| Velthorn | No | $693.06 |
| Misterxqt | No | $609.74 |
| OneAHalfshadow | Yes | $589.42 |
| 0x5b91… | Yes | $495.97 |
| Gl1tch | Yes | $441.60 |
| Jtrader | Yes | $411.11 |
| DannyChantom | Yes | $304.04 |
| BetterBest | Yes | $271.75 |
297 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $21k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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