Natus Vincere won. Smart money backed Dewa United Esports (4 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $370. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $11.0M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $7.0M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $6.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 26% | $4.5M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 77% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $3.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 77% · Mike Rogers (R) 24% | $1.9M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 67% · David Jolly (D) 34% | $1.5M |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Top Esports 41% · Invictus Gaming 60% | $1.5M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Dianj27 | Natus Vincere | $19.93 |
| castorcurse | Natus Vincere | $2.88 |
| H2ON | Natus Vincere | $2.81 |
| 0x9f15… | Natus Vincere | $1.09 |
| ZeroWallet | Natus Vincere | $0.83 |
| 0x3bf5… | Natus Vincere | $0.54 |
| oGsPale | Natus Vincere | $0.52 |
| GOLDCRYPT12 | Dewa United Esports | −$8.50 |
| Deplilili | Dewa United Esports | −$5 |
| Rollingblitz | Dewa United Esports | −$5 |
| Jtiz | Dewa United Esports | −$1.60 |
| sreca | Dewa United Esports | −$1.50 |
13 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $29; the 6 biggest losers gave up $23. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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