ONIC won. Smart money backed RRQ Hoshi (2 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $528. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $7.0M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $6.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 26% | $4.5M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 77% · Ken Paxton (R) 24% | $3.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 77% · Mike Rogers (R) 24% | $1.8M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 67% · David Jolly (D) 33% | $1.5M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 63% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 38% | $1.4M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x2077… | ONIC | $14.67 |
| GOLDCRYPT12 | ONIC | $6.69 |
| dane100k | ONIC | $3.15 |
| Lerche | ONIC | $2.86 |
| manbo3 | ONIC | $2.32 |
| MendozaJacka | ONIC | $1.94 |
| z3x-cz | ONIC | $0.60 |
| 0x546a… | ONIC | $0.53 |
| CCP6969 | RRQ Hoshi | −$25 |
| BANGZEAN | RRQ Hoshi | −$12 |
| Rollingblitz | RRQ Hoshi | −$5 |
| Dammmsssss | RRQ Hoshi | −$3 |
15 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $33; the 7 biggest losers gave up $49. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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