Down won. Smart money backed Up (4 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $2.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 80% · Draw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań) 14% · KKS Lech Poznań 8% | $1.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 42% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $1.0M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $713k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 50% · Suns 50% | $493k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 52% · Heat 49% | $462k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ng6000 | Down | $82.82 |
| 196874353278 | Down | $71.91 |
| yesasdgfaskdfhask | Down | $36.38 |
| Fotzelgambler | Down | $12.70 |
| clb-q | Down | $11.36 |
| bbd113d | Down | $7.40 |
| ddaasdf | Down | $7.30 |
| anon332 | Down | $7 |
| alualu28 | Down | $5.36 |
| pepe-15m | Down | $1.22 |
| stockattack | Down | $1 |
| fromthegetgo | Down | $0.72 |
33 wallets held a position at the close. The 12 biggest winners took $245; the 21 biggest losers gave up $461. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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