Pistons won. Smart money backed Hornets (21 ranked wallets, average entry 64¢) and lost. Volume $3.5M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 100% · Republican Party 0% | $11.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 100% · Ken Paxton (R) 0% | $7.9M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Gina Hinojosa (D) 98% · Greg Abbott (R) 2% | $4.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 98% · Mike Rogers (R) 2% | $3.6M |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes 100% · No 1% | $3.2M |
| Maine Senate Election Winner | Troy Jackson (D) 95% · Susan Collins (R) 4% | $1.3M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 91% · Independent 6% | $1.1M |
| Mississippi Senate Election Winner | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 92% · Scott Colom (D) 9% | $1.1M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| MoTradesX | Pistons | $82k |
| 0x0c15… | Pistons | $49k |
| CemeterySun | Pistons | $14k |
| Dhdhsjsj | Pistons | $14k |
| So10291 | Pistons | $7k |
| V00023 | Pistons | $6k |
| kslt | Pistons | $5k |
| jellyfish44 | Pistons | $4k |
| mimicat2026 | Pistons | $4k |
| USD.CAD | Pistons | $4k |
| RiCHDR4MER | Pistons | $4k |
| sports-bot | Pistons | $3k |
2,533 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $248k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $221k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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