Warriors won. Smart money backed Suns (29 ranked wallets, average entry 68¢) and lost. Volume $3.6M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 99% · Republican Party 1% | $12.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 99% · Republican Party 2% | $8.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 99% · Republicans Sweep 1% · R Senate, D House 0% | $7.8M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 84% · AK 3% · IA 2% | $6.2M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 97% · Ken Paxton (R) 3% | $5.6M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 99% · David Jolly (D) 1% | $3.8M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 96% · Mike Rogers (R) 5% | $2.6M |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Top Esports 20% · Invictus Gaming 80% | $2.5M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tbs8t | Warriors | $192k |
| 0x44d4… | Warriors | $57k |
| Dhdhsjsj | Warriors | $30k |
| costinricardo | Warriors | $12k |
| xuanaaak | Warriors | $10k |
| lionss | Warriors | $9k |
| Bienville | Warriors | $8k |
| emkayfd | Warriors | $7k |
| siyang | Warriors | $6k |
| Avarice31 | Warriors | $5k |
| orcxx11 | Warriors | $4k |
| AlexEnglish | Warriors | $4k |
1,759 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $398k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $323k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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