Thunder won. Smart money backed Raptors (18 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $4.4M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $6.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 73% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $6.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 27% | $4.1M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $3.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 78% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.5M |
| Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart | Galatasaray SK 90% · VfB Stuttgart 3% | $1.4M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.2M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| GetaLife | Thunder | $57k |
| theonlywaytoknow | Thunder | $21k |
| 0x6e82… | Thunder | $17k |
| BetMechanic | Thunder | $9k |
| MMKing | Thunder | $9k |
| KirksCousin | Thunder | $8k |
| 17th-floor | Thunder | $6k |
| distillation | Thunder | $6k |
| BDJL | Thunder | $5k |
| 66dashunli | Thunder | $5k |
| TrentaColdBrew | Thunder | $4k |
| solanaman | Thunder | $3k |
2,779 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $220k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $434k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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