Thunder won. Smart money backed Suns (3 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $3.2M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
1,378 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $59k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $87k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $6.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.6M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 74% · Independent 26% | $766k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $650k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $494k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $462k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 4-seas | Thunder | $14k |
| Anointed-Connect | Thunder | $6k |
| 0x65cd… | Thunder | $3k |
| Nyanto | Thunder | $3k |
| Kycper | Thunder | $2k |
| leiting26 | Thunder | $2k |
| abnd | Thunder | $2k |
| de100kman | Thunder | $2k |
| yytpo | Thunder | $1k |
| lileihallo | Thunder | $1k |
| letsgoduckies | Thunder | $1k |
| Bienville | Thunder | $1k |