No 54% · Yes 47%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 58¢). Volume $170k, liquidity $38k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $408k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $296k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $222k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $197k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $182k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $155k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $142k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $130k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| brightly | Yes | 12k |
| classified | Yes | 676 |
| rocky42018 | Yes | 299 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 250 |
| jan-delarus | Yes | 238 |
| buoys | Yes | 200 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 168 |
| JesusFK | Yes | 146 |
| 0x42d9…f440 | Yes | 116 |
| 0xb9d1…6de5 | Yes | 53 |
| angenia | No | 12k |
| dhadad01 | No | 627 |
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