No 53% · Yes 47%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 58¢). Volume $5.2k, liquidity $794. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 6% | $26k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 5% | $15k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 62% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 5% | $11k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 30% · November 10 29% · No release by November 30 10% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KimchiCapital | Yes | 323 |
| xcaiox | Yes | 273 |
| conherence | Yes | 80 |
| Dav1d10 | Yes | 60 |
| lexus100 | Yes | 50 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 30 |
| Laribobibo | Yes | 21 |
| Tallguy2527 | Yes | 20 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 20 |
| 418Imateapot | Yes | 20 |
| BOOST250 | No | 258 |
| 0x2b67…b814 | No | 110 |
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