No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 45¢) and lost. Volume $15k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 66% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 2% | $25k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 59% · November 2–November 8 13% · November 16–November 22 12% | $24k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $13k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 80% · No 20% | $12k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 32% · November 11 19% · November 13 8% | $8k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 74% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 6% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| KimchiCapital | Yes | $184.12 |
| haruka77 | No | $136.85 |
| molodoyy | No | $127.91 |
| rgbpanda | No | $81.11 |
| Vincent-CZ | No | $71.13 |
| recallcp | No | $60.47 |
| 0x24f8… | No | $52.22 |
| oilstud | No | $40.69 |
| 0x36da… | No | $38.33 |
| sunnybank | No | $32.89 |
| 0x70f6… | No | $31.43 |
| 0xd13f… | No | $31.11 |
73 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 36 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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