Canada won. Smart money backed Thailand (6 ranked wallets, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $3.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.6M |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $1.4M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 62% · Carlos Alcaraz 39% | $1.3M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Jon Ossoff 19% · Glenn Youngkin 0% | $653k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 32% | $483k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 83% | $458k |
| Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC | Everton FC 58% · Coventry City FC 17% | $431k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | T1 65% · Karmine Corp 36% | $406k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf27a… | Canada | $50.14 |
| vip190666 | Canada | $19.82 |
| 0x8b10… | Canada | $14.13 |
| foodcritic1 | Canada | $10.54 |
| ownc | Canada | $9.95 |
| dvd-777 | Canada | $4.54 |
| asdfasdf333 | Canada | $3.88 |
| aab11 | Canada | $3.09 |
| danbi100daezhiyingzhisun | Canada | $1.93 |
| Aw0 | Canada | $1.68 |
| jwocky | Canada | $1.65 |
| f9g33 | Canada | $1.01 |
30 wallets held a position at the close. The 16 biggest winners took $126; the 14 biggest losers gave up $268. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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