No 80% · Yes 21%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 62¢). Volume $7.1k, liquidity $789. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $777k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $240k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $227k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $199k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $190k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 28% · No 73% | $174k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $166k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $163k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x7272…a67d | Yes | 500 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 492 |
| pingentfan1 | Yes | 386 |
| qaz1234567890 | Yes | 163 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 80 |
| Guyton | Yes | 54 |
| Carabao | Yes | 40 |
| aenews6 | Yes | 40 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 40 |
| bssource | Yes | 30 |
| JMSHZMBR988115 | No | 986 |
| Analista. | No | 300 |
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