Yes won. Smart money backed No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢) and lost. Volume $2.4M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 99% · Republican Party 2% | $10.7M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 58% · IA 10% · AK 4% | $9.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 90% · R Senate, D House 8% · Republicans Sweep 1% | $7.9M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 92% · Republican Party 10% | $7.0M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 82% · Ken Paxton (R) 19% | $5.1M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 96% · David Jolly (D) 4% | $3.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 88% · Mike Rogers (R) 12% | $2.3M |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Top Esports 21% · Invictus Gaming 79% | $2.3M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x0163… | Yes | $37k |
| Champ | Yes | $20k |
| somerandomname | Yes | $12k |
| 0x0757...6382 | Yes | $11k |
| fomobetter | Yes | $8k |
| averagejoe | Yes | $6k |
| hot-097 | Yes | $5k |
| sdffcgfsdgh | Yes | $5k |
| eec93 | Yes | $4k |
| winnerwinnerchickndinner | Yes | $4k |
| EtfInsider | Yes | $4k |
| ALMOST | Yes | $3k |
1,125 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $165k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $133k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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