Who is the smart money on “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Other · Other · live

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 60% · Yes 41%. Volume $812k, liquidity $60k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
60%
Yes
41%
Volume
$812k
Liquidity
$60k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

12 wallets · 26,736 known shares

6idontknow123451334
entry 41¢ · P&L $17k · win 60%
bernardbulletinwhale
entry 22¢ · P&L $201k · win 69%
MKIsabella
entry 37¢ · P&L $8.6k · win 38%
D33pCynicwhale
entry 34¢ · P&L $68k · win 46%
0xb1b8…465asharp
entry 24¢ · P&L $12k · win —
AlexCimmeria
entry 29¢ · P&L -$33k · win 38%

More Other markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 60% · Yes 41%, on $812k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

live

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

40.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

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Smart-money conviction · Other

Smart-money conviction