Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $540. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 11% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · James Talarico 2% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 78% · Pistons 23% | $1.1M |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 5% · Celtics 96% | $796k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $780k |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks 80% · Wizards 20% | $726k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| anonswiss | Down | $3.45 |
| anon332 | Down | $3.35 |
| mrpcsol | Down | $2.10 |
| iainm232 | Down | $1.16 |
| Fotzelgambler | Down | $0.91 |
| clb-q | Down | $0.52 |
| Mean-Blocker-Refund | Up | −$13 |
| 0x6123… | Up | −$10 |
| 0x3a0b… | Up | −$1.25 |
9 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $11; the 3 biggest losers gave up $24. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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