Honvéd won. Smart money backed Goud Guys (6 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $990. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 64% · AEK 17% · Draw (AEK vs. Real Madrid CF) 16% | $5.2M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 23% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 67% · Fenerbahçe SK 14% | $1.0M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $777k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 17% · Jon Ossoff 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $667k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| funfacts | Honvéd | $42.75 |
| Gasplant | Honvéd | $20.67 |
| Labelio | Honvéd | $5.57 |
| konstantinbazuev | Honvéd | $4.03 |
| JustWins12 | Honvéd | $2.60 |
| toireK | Honvéd | $2 |
| satoshistake | Honvéd | $1.32 |
| ameisgoat11 | Honvéd | $1.15 |
| 0xf0f1… | Honvéd | $0.61 |
| amznputs | Goud Guys | −$16.60 |
| Jxtoas | Goud Guys | −$8.99 |
| grandculp | Goud Guys | −$4.25 |
18 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $81; the 9 biggest losers gave up $38. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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