Who won “Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?” on Polymarket?

No won; it closed Nov 1, 2026, on $59k of volume. The odds widget charts the path to the close.

Who won the most on “Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?”?

Winners and losers appear once Polynyx has settled every position from on-chain fills, usually within the hour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · resolved

Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?

No won. Volume $59k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Winner
No
Smart money
no ranked wallets
Volume
$59k
Closed
Nov 1, 2026

See who really won.Every wallet on this market by name — fills, entries and what each one took home — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

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Yes 91% · No 10% · 24h volume $62k
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 63% · Yes 38% · 24h volume $50k
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Yes 91% · No 10% · 24h volume $34k
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Yes 79% · No 22% · 24h volume $32k
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?
Yes 53% · No 48% · 24h volume $29k

FAQ

Who won “Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?” on Polymarket?: No won; it closed Nov 1, 2026, on $59k of volume. The odds widget charts the path to the close.
Who won the most on “Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?”?: Winners and losers appear once Polynyx has settled every position from on-chain fills, usually within the hour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?

live

Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31? · odds to the close

Market & odds history

Result

Market & odds history

100%

No · resolved

Smart money by side · shares at the close

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Top Elections wallets · 30-day P&L

Trader leaderboard

Wallet	P&L	30d P&L	ROI	Win rate	Volume
mintblade	$9.2M	$9.2M	52%	100%	$17.8M
fishalive	$9.1M	$9.1M	68.2%	100%	$13.3M
frostrizz	$8.9M	$8.9M	38.7%	83.3%	$23.1M
GRIMDRIP	$7.6M	$7.6M	55.9%	100%	$13.6M
joseph00677	$5.6M	$7.2M	11.9%	43.5%	$47.1M
muchobliged	$2.2M	$7.1M	6.9%	71.4%	$31.1M
endlessFate	$7.4M	$4.7M	28.2%	66.7%	$26.3M
Inaccuratestake	$4.0M	$3.9M	14.6%	74.2%	$27.2M

Elections markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11%	$5.4M	$32.1M
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6%	$1.7M	$13.4M
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5%	$1.4M	$14.7M
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30%	$646k	$2.5M
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19%	$571k	$1.2M
Next French Presidential Election	David Lisnard 20% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Édouard Philippe 12%	$536k	$1.9M
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42%	$454k	$805k
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28%	$437k	$5.3M

Winners & losers · at the close

Winners & losers (settled)

Nothing settled yet — winners and losers appear once the market resolves.

Smart-money conviction · Elections

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$135k
2Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$30k
3Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$41k
4Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$35k
5Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?$14k
6Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$10k
7Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$17k
8Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$19k
9Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$8k
10Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?$8k