Who is the smart money on “Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · live

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Volume $17k, liquidity $24k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$17k
Liquidity
$24k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 24 known shares

UniLB
entry 6¢ · all-time −$533 · win 13%
Hochul325
entry 38¢ · all-time −$4.8k · win 16%

No

1 wallets · 150 known shares

bufogodis
entry 90¢ · all-time +$4.6k · win 53%

More Elections markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $17k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

live

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.8%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No15086%
Yes2414%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Elections markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	None 23% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11%	$7.7M	$55.0M
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 20%	$1.8M	$937k
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6%	$1.7M	$16.1M
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 5%	$892k	$10.3M
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Pete Ricketts (R) 73% · Independent 27%	$832k	$408k
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30%	$580k	$2.2M
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28%	$494k	$6.7M
Next French Presidential Election	David Lisnard 18% · Christine Lagarde 4%	$468k	$318k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.2¢ask 0.3¢spread 0.1¢mid 0.3¢

SizeBid

AskSize

4230.2¢

0.3¢228

3310.1¢

0.5¢16

0.6¢111

0.8¢40

0.9¢1.0k

1¢120

1.8¢20

1.9¢150

2¢80

2.5¢300

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	476	$193k
youtube-trader	Yes	323	−$5k
Huye168	Yes	228	$1k
sanduspace	Yes	200	$1k
jackli003	Yes	200	$438.38
2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f.	Yes	150	$727.20
flexer78	Yes	111	$2k
0x6b0ebb	Yes	102	$27k
Numitus1994	Yes	26	−$34k
MMNiam	Yes	20	−$118.01
RememberAmalek	No	864	$847k
pieped	No	403	$22k

Smart-money conviction · Elections

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$135k
2Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$68k
3Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$49k
4Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$46k
5Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$23k
6Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$18k
7Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$23k
82026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$11k
92026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$12k
10Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$13k