Twisted Minds won. Smart money backed Gentle Mates (3 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $2.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $1.4M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 59% · Carlos Alcaraz 41% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Jon Ossoff 19% · Glenn Youngkin 0% | $623k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 32% | $464k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 83% | $447k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $409k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | T1 65% · Karmine Corp 36% | $368k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x83f3… | Twisted Minds | $84.19 |
| Aveen | Twisted Minds | $17.01 |
| shortxrp | Twisted Minds | $16.56 |
| 0x6933… | Twisted Minds | $15.13 |
| trasheru | Twisted Minds | $10.81 |
| 0xf305… | Twisted Minds | $10.72 |
| Renart | Twisted Minds | $3.37 |
| JMP23 | Twisted Minds | $3.20 |
| MoneyCrab | Twisted Minds | $3.12 |
| ImNameless | Twisted Minds | $1.68 |
| Bajejajobajejajo | Gentle Mates | −$274.47 |
| 0x4552… | Gentle Mates | −$200.54 |
27 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $166; the 17 biggest losers gave up $723. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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