Twisted Minds won. Smart money backed FUT Esports (5 ranked wallets, average entry 21¢) and lost. Volume $1.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.0M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Abdul El-Sayed 1% | $1.4M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata | Luca Van Assche 77% · Rinky Hijikata 23% | $640k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Glenn Youngkin 0% | $538k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 53% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $433k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Ron DeSantis 13% · Marjorie Taylor Greene 0% | $423k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 72% · Puma Shen 29% | $415k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 17% · T1 83% | $351k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| kash4 | Twisted Minds | $209.79 |
| Seluj | Twisted Minds | $18.33 |
| asdfasdf333 | Twisted Minds | $6.70 |
| sdflll11 | Twisted Minds | $6.70 |
| aab11 | Twisted Minds | $2.68 |
| erenkskn001 | Twisted Minds | $1.67 |
| M864 | Twisted Minds | $1.44 |
| GrilledPiggy | Twisted Minds | $0.99 |
| vkolbasenko | Twisted Minds | $0.61 |
| Seluj | FUT Esports | −$21.06 |
| PoxyShmoxy | FUT Esports | −$10.31 |
| BebyBand | FUT Esports | −$7.21 |
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $249; the 8 biggest losers gave up $47. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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